<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">The new cabinet of Jamaican Prime Minister Michael Manley has dropped P.J. Patterson as deputy prime</div>

The new cabinet of Jamaican Prime Minister Michael Manley has dropped P.J. Patterson as deputy prime

<div>The new cabinet of Jamaican Prime Minister Michael Manley has dropped P.J. Patterson as deputy prime minister and finance minister.Political analysts said Hugh Small, named to replace Mr. Patterson as finance minister, seemed the most likely candidate as an eventual successor to Mr. Manley, 67. Mr. Small generally shares Mr. Manley's free market economic philosophy.The cabinet shake-up followed a scandal involving a tax break to Shell Oil Co. Mr. Patterson had approved the import tax waiver at the request of Horace Clarke, then energy minister, who was forced to resign last week.Mr. Patterson, who had been widely viewed as Mr....

The new cabinet of Jamaican Prime Minister Michael Manley has dropped P.J. Patterson as deputy prime minister and finance minister. Political analysts said Hugh Small, named to replace Mr. Patterson as finance minister, seemed the most likely candidate as an eventual successor to Mr. Manley, 67. Mr. Small generally shares Mr. Manley's free market economic philosophy.The cabinet shake-up followed a scandal involving a tax break to Shell Oil Co. Mr. Patterson had approved the import tax waiver at the request of Horace Clarke, then energy minister, who was forced to resign last week. Mr. Patterson, who had been widely viewed as Mr. Manley's eventual successor before the reshuffle, keeps his job as chairman of the incumbent People's National Party. Mr. Manley left vacant for now the post of deputy prime minister. David Coore retains the foreign relations ministry. The popularity of Mr. Manley's government, which weathered a scandal last year after revelations that ministers were spending public funds on lavish home furnishings, has plunged in recent public opinion polls.

Maritime

JAMAICA CABINET CHANGES MADE

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">The change to a more freight-all-kinds strategy comes as ongoing contracts for the 2024–25 service year bundled with penalty clauses have proved to be problematic for keeping customer relationships intact.</div>

The change to a more freight-all-kinds strategy comes as ongoing contracts for the 2024–25 service year bundled with penalty clauses have proved to be problematic for keeping customer relationships intact.

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<div class="phx-topic">Ocean carriers active on the India-US East Coast trade lane seem to be “reformatting” their traditional service contract arrangements for the 2025–26 season as the market environment remains increasingly cloudy, industry sources say. Multiple sources, especially non-vessel-operating common carriers (NVOs), who spoke with the Journal of Commerce noted that some liners are not keen to negotiate fixed-rate long-term deals as they anticipate cases of shipper underperformance or failure to honor commitments in the current volatile market. The strategy change comes as ongoing contracts for the 2024–25 service year bundled with penalty clauses have proved to be problematic for keeping customer relationships intact. “The indications as of now are that [carriers] want to avoid a recurrence of too many customer complaints about penalty notices and potential legal risks,” an NVO executive who didn’t want to be identified told the Journal of Commerce. “Customers usually push for penalty waivers regardless of the terms and conditions they have agreed to.” <div class="wrapper-narrow"><dynamic-object type="jocchartid" resource-id="56199e2b-5df4-468f-a149-b18ae7c32e51"></dynamic-object></div>One carrier holding off on negotiating or signing long-term contracts is Hapag-Lloyd, sources say. The German liner was previously offering a fixed-price type of contract with validity ranging from six to 18 months. “Hapag-Lloyd instead is now seeking to work on a freight-all-kinds [FAK] pricing basis with all customers,” an NVO source said. Hapag-Lloyd is the top India-US East Coast carrier, offering the fastest transit from West India to North America. The carrier accounts for almost 25% of the market, anecdotal industry data indicates. There are some tentative signals that a few other competing carriers will selectively consider an FAK pricing strategy to ward off likely bad blood with customers as long-term relationships remain more critical than ever amid the dual headwinds of significant overcapacity and muted demand growth. But other forwarder sources hold a view that carriers can’t afford to lose contract customers, which they say could impact their space allocation math. “Liners need some base cargo through contracts to plan their commercial strategies,” a forwarder executive said. “It’s true that contracts with penalty clauses or floating charges have been a complex matter, with defaults reported, mostly with small and mid-size volume shippers.” Sources also noted that contract clients, both beneficial cargo owners and NVOs, typically contribute approximately 50% of carrier volumes on the trade lane. <h3>‘Rate war’</h3>Riding on enhanced India-USEC weekly capacity, Maersk is said to be advancing contract negotiations and has already concluded deals with several leading forwarders and/or BCOs, sources say. Meanwhile, most carriers on the trade lane have canceled early-April rate increase plans and extended recent spot rates through the first half of the month, a lack of bargaining position they in large part blame on Asian carriers working on slot rights, particularly Cosco Shipping and its subsidiary OOCL. “What we are witnessing now can best be described as a rate war between European and Asian carriers,” Joy Varghese, managing director of Mumbai-based forwarder Cargocare Group, told the Journal of Commerce. “As a result, mega carriers are increasingly weaponizing blank sailings or port skips to tighten the market.” Platts, a sister company of the Journal of Commerce within S&amp;P Global, pegged India-USEC spot rates at $1,700 per FEU as of April 1, down 8% from last week. Contact Bency Mathew at <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/bencymathew@gmail.com">bencyvmathew@gmail.com</a>.</div>

Ocean carriers active on the India-US East Coast trade lane seem to be “reformatting” their traditional service contract arrangements for the 2025–26 season as the market environment remains increasingly cloudy, industry sources say. Multiple sources, especially non-vessel-operating common carriers (NVOs), who spoke with the Journal of Commerce noted that some liners are not keen to negotiate fixed-rate long-term deals as they anticipate cases of shipper underperformance or failure to honor commitments in the current volatile market. The strategy change comes as ongoing contracts for the 2024–25 service year bundled with penalty clauses have proved to be problematic for keeping customer relationships intact. “The indications as of now are that [carriers] want to avoid a recurrence of too many customer complaints about penalty notices and potential legal risks,” an NVO executive who didn’t want to be identified told the Journal of Commerce. “Customers usually push for penalty waivers regardless of the terms and conditions they have agreed to.” One carrier holding off on negotiating or signing long-term contracts is Hapag-Lloyd, sources say. The German liner was previously offering a fixed-price type of contract with validity ranging from six to 18 months. “Hapag-Lloyd instead is now seeking to work on a freight-all-kinds [FAK] pricing basis with all customers,” an NVO source said. Hapag-Lloyd is the top India-US East Coast carrier, offering the fastest transit from West India to North America. The carrier accounts for almost 25% of the market, anecdotal industry data indicates. There are some tentative signals that a few other competing carriers will selectively consider an FAK pricing strategy to ward off likely bad blood with customers as long-term relationships remain more critical than ever amid the dual headwinds of significant overcapacity and muted demand growth. But other forwarder sources hold a view that carriers can’t afford to lose contract customers, which they say could impact their space allocation math. “Liners need some base cargo through contracts to plan their commercial strategies,” a forwarder executive said. “It’s true that contracts with penalty clauses or floating charges have been a complex matter, with defaults reported, mostly with small and mid-size volume shippers.” Sources also noted that contract clients, both beneficial cargo owners and NVOs, typically contribute approximately 50% of carrier volumes on the trade lane. ‘Rate war’ Riding on enhanced India-USEC weekly capacity, Maersk is said to be advancing contract negotiations and has already concluded deals with several leading forwarders and/or BCOs, sources say. Meanwhile, most carriers on the trade lane have canceled early-April rate increase plans and extended recent spot rates through the first half of the month, a lack of bargaining position they in large part blame on Asian carriers working on slot rights, particularly Cosco Shipping and its subsidiary OOCL. “What we are witnessing now can best be described as a rate war between European and Asian carriers,” Joy Varghese, managing director of Mumbai-based forwarder Cargocare Group, told the Journal of Commerce. “As a result, mega carriers are increasingly weaponizing blank sailings or port skips to tighten the market.” Platts, a sister company of the Journal of Commerce within S&P Global, pegged India-USEC spot rates at $1,700 per FEU as of April 1, down 8% from last week. Contact Bency Mathew at bencyvmathew@gmail.com .

Container Shipping News

Port News

Container lines

India-US liners tweak 2025–26 contract plans amid shipper performance fears: NVOs

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">The terminal operator says buying the railroad that connects ports on the canal’s Pacific and Atlantic sides fits into its overall strategy of offering more services to shippers. </div>

The terminal operator says buying the railroad that connects ports on the canal’s Pacific and Atlantic sides fits into its overall strategy of offering more services to shippers.

<div class="phx-topic">APM Terminals has acquired the short-line railroad serving the Panama Canal as the marine terminal operator looks to expand its reach into transshipment and intermodal services. APM said Wednesday it struck a deal for the Panama Canal Railway Company (PCRC) with its joint owners Canadian Pacific Kansas City and Illinois-based conglomerate Lanco Group, along with the latter’s terminal equipment division Mi-Jack. Terms of the acquisition were not disclosed. APM said the PCRC had revenue of $77 million last year with an operating profit of $36 million. In 2024, PCRC handled 400,000 containers. The PCRC is a 47-mile, single-track railway that shuttles freight between the Port of Colon on the canal’s Atlantic side and the Port of Balboa on the Pacific side. Kansas City Southern and Mi-Jack have operated the PCRC under a concession from Panama since 1998. APM Chief Executive Keith Svendsen said in a statement announcing the deal that PCRC is “aligned to our core services of intermodal container movement [and] will provide a significant opportunity for us to offer a broader range of services to the global shipping customers we serve.” APM said the PCRC will complement the terminal operator’s existing service offerings. While APM doesn’t have any terminals in Panama, it does operate terminals in Costa Rica and Guatemala. APM parent Maersk operates a fulfillment center at the Panama Pacifico logistics park near the country’s capitol. Maersk is relying on efficient transshipping to provide high schedule reliability for its Gemini Cooperation alliance with Hapag-Lloyd. Under its original owners, the PCRC aimed to offer transshipment options between Colon and Balboa for vessels serving north-south trades. PCRC also handles cargo offloaded due to <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/near-normal-water-levels-allowing-more-ship-transits-through-panama-canal-5192222">draft restrictions on the canal</a> or navigational purposes. The acquisition comes as the Panama Canal Authority (ACP) looks at options to ensure the canal’s long-term viability. Last year, ACP said it was looking into the construction of a new road network to serve as a land bridge between the canal’s two sides. Contact Michael Angell at <a href="mailto:michael.angell@spglobal.com ">michael.angell@spglobal.com</a>. </div>

APM Terminals has acquired the short-line railroad serving the Panama Canal as the marine terminal operator looks to expand its reach into transshipment and intermodal services. APM said Wednesday it struck a deal for the Panama Canal Railway Company (PCRC) with its joint owners Canadian Pacific Kansas City and Illinois-based conglomerate Lanco Group, along with the latter’s terminal equipment division Mi-Jack. Terms of the acquisition were not disclosed. APM said the PCRC had revenue of $77 million last year with an operating profit of $36 million. In 2024, PCRC handled 400,000 containers. The PCRC is a 47-mile, single-track railway that shuttles freight between the Port of Colon on the canal’s Atlantic side and the Port of Balboa on the Pacific side. Kansas City Southern and Mi-Jack have operated the PCRC under a concession from Panama since 1998. APM Chief Executive Keith Svendsen said in a statement announcing the deal that PCRC is “aligned to our core services of intermodal container movement [and] will provide a significant opportunity for us to offer a broader range of services to the global shipping customers we serve.” APM said the PCRC will complement the terminal operator’s existing service offerings. While APM doesn’t have any terminals in Panama, it does operate terminals in Costa Rica and Guatemala. APM parent Maersk operates a fulfillment center at the Panama Pacifico logistics park near the country’s capitol. Maersk is relying on efficient transshipping to provide high schedule reliability for its Gemini Cooperation alliance with Hapag-Lloyd. Under its original owners, the PCRC aimed to offer transshipment options between Colon and Balboa for vessels serving north-south trades. PCRC also handles cargo offloaded due to draft restrictions on the canal or navigational purposes. The acquisition comes as the Panama Canal Authority (ACP) looks at options to ensure the canal’s long-term viability. Last year, ACP said it was looking into the construction of a new road network to serve as a land bridge between the canal’s two sides. Contact Michael Angell at michael.angell@spglobal.com .

Marine terminals

International ports

International rail

Intermodal providers

APM acquires first railroad asset with deal for Panama Canal’s short line

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">Price and volume increases are being seen across trans-Pacific and trans-Atlantic trade lanes, but there is little clarity on whether underlying demand is enough to prop up spot rates once the tariffs have been implemented. </div>

Price and volume increases are being seen across trans-Pacific and trans-Atlantic trade lanes, but there is little clarity on whether underlying demand is enough to prop up spot rates once the tariffs have been implemented.

<div class="phx-topic">Air cargo rates on the trans-Pacific and trans-Atlantic were up again this week as shippers took to the air ahead of the April 2 rollout of US import tariffs on China and Europe. While there is little clarity on whether underlying demand is enough to prop up spot rates once the tariffs have been implemented, airlines and forwarders are benefiting from an unseasonal jump in rates and volume. The average Shanghai-North America rate of $5.40 per kilogram on Monday was up slightly on the previous week, the second consecutive week the price has topped $5/kg, according to the Baltic Air Index (BAI). Rates on other key lanes out of Asia to the US were also up, with large sequential weekly gains from Vietnam and India. North Europe to North America rates were up 2.5% from last week at $2.89/kg, with the index of outbound routes from Frankfurt increasing 8.3%. Outbound London rates were up 15.5% week over week, BAI data showed. Much of the air freight demand on the westbound trans-Atlantic routes is being driven by the automotive sector that is <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/trans-atlantic-air-cargo-demand-surges-ahead-of-us-tariffs-5965691">facing stiff tariffs on vehicles exported to the US</a>. “Demand remains high due to restocking efforts in the US,” Loic Gay, global air freight leader at CEVA Logistics, told the Journal of Commerce. “Flights are expected to operate at full capacity and air freight rates will likely remain elevated, especially for main deck cargo space.” While rates rose on the US-bound routes, it was the Asia-Europe trade lane where the largest price gains were seen, according to rate benchmarking platform Xeneta. Data from Xeneta shows spot rates sold by airlines to forwarders on Asia-Europe rose 11% year over year this week to $4.28/kg. The first three weeks of March saw double-digit year-over-year growth in air cargo volume on the Asia-to-Europe trade, according to an update this week by Xeneta air freight analyst Wenwen Zhang. “This growing demand from Northeast Asia to Europe is driven largely by robust e-commerce volume and sits well above the levels seen 12 months ago in both chargeable weight per shipment and shipment count,” Zhang noted. <h3>Signs of future demand emerging </h3>There are encouraging signs of future air freight demand indicated by the Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs) produced by S&amp;P Global, parent company of the Journal of Commerce. China’s manufacturing sector expanded at a faster rate in March with factory output growth accelerating on the back of a sustained rise in new orders. New export sales notably increased at the quickest pace in nearly a year, the Caixin China General Manufacturing PMI found. The Eurozone PMI also showed a slight improvement in manufacturing activity, with Cyrus de la Rubia, chief economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank, taking a glass-half-full view in his analysis of the PMI survey results. “Things are looking up,” de la Rubia wrote. “The PMI has increased for the third month in a row ... a significant part of this movement may have to do with the frontloading of orders from the US ahead of the tariffs, which means some backlash is to be expected in the coming months. “However, given the geopolitical developments, there is also increasing speculation that the defense sector will expand significantly over the next few years, with direct and indirect positive effects on the industry.” <div class="wrapper-narrow"><dynamic-object type="jocchartid" resource-id="a9cf3dff-bcf4-43fd-82e7-9db527bd4aee"></dynamic-object></div>The uncertainty was playing out in the contracting of air cargo space. While the main online marketplaces contract space directly with airlines, forwarders handle the general air cargo business of shippers. Zhang said just under 45% of Asia-Europe westbound volumes were being bought by forwarders on the spot market, an increase from last year that demonstrates a level of caution. “If there was confidence of significant upward pressure to come, you may expect a higher percentage of seasonal agreements as freight forwarders look to lock in lower rates with airlines so they can then sell to shippers at a higher price down the line,” she noted. <h3>Flexible contracts are key </h3>The key to navigating the unsettled air cargo market is having the flexibility to handle rapidly changing conditions, said Martin Habisreitinger, COO for airfreight at Hellmann Worldwide Logistics. “We are closely monitoring the evolving global landscape and its impact on demand volatility, particularly driven by trade wars and geopolitical challenges,” Habisreitinger told the Journal of Commerce. “To navigate this uncertainty and ensure continuity for our customers, we are actively working on flexible agreements with airlines and partners,” he added. “These agreements allow us to adapt to fluctuating demand and remain agile in our service offerings.” Habisreitinger said Hellmann was also diversifying routing options to mitigate the impact of capacity constraints on some trade lanes. Contact Greg Knowler at <a href="mailto:greg.knowler@spglobal.com">greg.knowler@spglobal.com</a>. </div>

Air cargo rates on the trans-Pacific and trans-Atlantic were up again this week as shippers took to the air ahead of the April 2 rollout of US import tariffs on China and Europe. While there is little clarity on whether underlying demand is enough to prop up spot rates once the tariffs have been implemented, airlines and forwarders are benefiting from an unseasonal jump in rates and volume. The average Shanghai-North America rate of $5.40 per kilogram on Monday was up slightly on the previous week, the second consecutive week the price has topped $5/kg, according to the Baltic Air Index (BAI). Rates on other key lanes out of Asia to the US were also up, with large sequential weekly gains from Vietnam and India. North Europe to North America rates were up 2.5% from last week at $2.89/kg, with the index of outbound routes from Frankfurt increasing 8.3%. Outbound London rates were up 15.5% week over week, BAI data showed. Much of the air freight demand on the westbound trans-Atlantic routes is being driven by the automotive sector that is facing stiff tariffs on vehicles exported to the US . “Demand remains high due to restocking efforts in the US,” Loic Gay, global air freight leader at CEVA Logistics, told the Journal of Commerce. “Flights are expected to operate at full capacity and air freight rates will likely remain elevated, especially for main deck cargo space.” While rates rose on the US-bound routes, it was the Asia-Europe trade lane where the largest price gains were seen, according to rate benchmarking platform Xeneta. Data from Xeneta shows spot rates sold by airlines to forwarders on Asia-Europe rose 11% year over year this week to $4.28/kg. The first three weeks of March saw double-digit year-over-year growth in air cargo volume on the Asia-to-Europe trade, according to an update this week by Xeneta air freight analyst Wenwen Zhang. “This growing demand from Northeast Asia to Europe is driven largely by robust e-commerce volume and sits well above the levels seen 12 months ago in both chargeable weight per shipment and shipment count,” Zhang noted. Signs of future demand emerging There are encouraging signs of future air freight demand indicated by the Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs) produced by S&P Global, parent company of the Journal of Commerce. China’s manufacturing sector expanded at a faster rate in March with factory output growth accelerating on the back of a sustained rise in new orders. New export sales notably increased at the quickest pace in nearly a year, the Caixin China General Manufacturing PMI found. The Eurozone PMI also showed a slight improvement in manufacturing activity, with Cyrus de la Rubia, chief economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank, taking a glass-half-full view in his analysis of the PMI survey results. “Things are looking up,” de la Rubia wrote. “The PMI has increased for the third month in a row ... a significant part of this movement may have to do with the frontloading of orders from the US ahead of the tariffs, which means some backlash is to be expected in the coming months. “However, given the geopolitical developments, there is also increasing speculation that the defense sector will expand significantly over the next few years, with direct and indirect positive effects on the industry.” The uncertainty was playing out in the contracting of air cargo space. While the main online marketplaces contract space directly with airlines, forwarders handle the general air cargo business of shippers. Zhang said just under 45% of Asia-Europe westbound volumes were being bought by forwarders on the spot market, an increase from last year that demonstrates a level of caution. “If there was confidence of significant upward pressure to come, you may expect a higher percentage of seasonal agreements as freight forwarders look to lock in lower rates with airlines so they can then sell to shippers at a higher price down the line,” she noted. Flexible contracts are key The key to navigating the unsettled air cargo market is having the flexibility to handle rapidly changing conditions, said Martin Habisreitinger, COO for airfreight at Hellmann Worldwide Logistics. “We are closely monitoring the evolving global landscape and its impact on demand volatility, particularly driven by trade wars and geopolitical challenges,” Habisreitinger told the Journal of Commerce. “To navigate this uncertainty and ensure continuity for our customers, we are actively working on flexible agreements with airlines and partners,” he added. “These agreements allow us to adapt to fluctuating demand and remain agile in our service offerings.” Habisreitinger said Hellmann was also diversifying routing options to mitigate the impact of capacity constraints on some trade lanes. Contact Greg Knowler at greg.knowler@spglobal.com .

Air Cargo Forwarder News

Air Cargo Carriers News

Transport, Trade and Regulation News

Air Cargo

New Trump tariffs spur rise in US-bound air cargo rates amid frontloading

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">Firms sourcing from Vietnam, India or Mexico rely heavily on components, raw materials and equipment from China, which will remain an essential link in the production supply chain even if it’s no longer the only one.</div>

Firms sourcing from Vietnam, India or Mexico rely heavily on components, raw materials and equipment from China, which will remain an essential link in the production supply chain even if it’s no longer the only one.

<div class="phx-topic">Economic volatility, geopolitical instability and trade policy uncertainty, especially from the US, have disrupted the relatively stable sourcing playbook that for decades had China at its center, according to the Council for Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP). And the ongoing series of shocks to the global economy, the Red Sea attacks on commercial shipping, logistics bottlenecks and growing regulatory scrutiny are forcing companies to look deeper into where their products are sourced, moved and managed. “Sourcing from Asia, and especially from China, was almost automatic, and the logic was clear — there was cost-effective labor, scale, efficiency and predictability — and China became the factory of the world,” Len Pannett, managing director of consultancy Supercharg3d, told a recent CSCMP webinar on Asia sourcing. “What’s different now is the sheer complexity,” Pannett added. “Supply chain leaders are no longer just choosing the cheapest locations. They’re navigating tariff walls, national security concerns, ESG [environment and social governance] scrutiny, infrastructure gaps and freight volatility.” In this volatile and changing environment, China-plus-one sourcing has become a buzz phrase, but Pannett said it was not a clean or simple pivot, and the reality was more nuanced. “Many firms that source from, say, Vietnam, India or Mexico, still rely heavily on components, raw materials and equipment from China, and in that sense, China remains an essential link, even if it’s no longer the only one,” he said. Dan Krassenstein, global supply chain director at packaging producer Procon Pacific, agreed that China would remain a key sourcing location despite the politically-driven US trade policy. The US will begin implementing an array of tariffs on April 2 in what President Donald Trump has dubbed “Liberation Day.” “There’s going to be a lot of reciprocal tariffs applied across the globe, and it’s going to be a game of Russian roulette,” Krassenstein told the CSCMP webinar. “I was just in India speaking with my suppliers and they really don’t know what to expect.” <h3>Manufacturing role ‘deemphasized’ </h3>But even with the tariffs, China will remain a core manufacturing base, although its role is being “deemphasized,” Krassenstein noted. “Vietnam and Mexico get a lot of their raw materials and semi-finished components from China, and even India gets a lot of its machinery from China, and the amount of intra-Asia trade is enormous,” he said. “China still plays a key role in global trade, but it is just a little bit deemphasized.” Krassenstein said while labor costs in China are increasing, the US tariffs are exacerbating the cost difference between manufacturing in China and alternative countries, thus accelerating the search for “China-plus-one” sourcing among US importers. “When you get to production of certain items, Mexico makes more sense and a lot of Chinese manufacturers shifted some of their production very early on to Mexico to take advantage of the free trade accord and proximity to the US to reduce some of the geopolitical risks,” he said. The European Union is not facing the same political pressure on corporations to look for alternative sourcing locations to China, according to Tom van der Heyden, co-founder and CEO of sourcing strategy consultancy S3 Group. “We also do not have a Mexico next door in Europe ... it is much harder for European corporations to look into that so we are more stuck to China,” he noted. But van der Heyden added that despite tariffs and the political environment affecting China’s ability to supply the US, the country remained a competitive manufacturing powerhouse. “The skill set, the combination of skills, the supplier clusters in China and the infrastructure are unmatched, and that creates an environment that is so hard to get away from,” he said. Contact Greg Knowler at <a href="mailto:greg.knowler@spglobal.com">greg.knowler@spglobal.com</a>. </div>

Economic volatility, geopolitical instability and trade policy uncertainty, especially from the US, have disrupted the relatively stable sourcing playbook that for decades had China at its center, according to the Council for Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP). And the ongoing series of shocks to the global economy, the Red Sea attacks on commercial shipping, logistics bottlenecks and growing regulatory scrutiny are forcing companies to look deeper into where their products are sourced, moved and managed. “Sourcing from Asia, and especially from China, was almost automatic, and the logic was clear — there was cost-effective labor, scale, efficiency and predictability — and China became the factory of the world,” Len Pannett, managing director of consultancy Supercharg3d, told a recent CSCMP webinar on Asia sourcing. “What’s different now is the sheer complexity,” Pannett added. “Supply chain leaders are no longer just choosing the cheapest locations. They’re navigating tariff walls, national security concerns, ESG [environment and social governance] scrutiny, infrastructure gaps and freight volatility.” In this volatile and changing environment, China-plus-one sourcing has become a buzz phrase, but Pannett said it was not a clean or simple pivot, and the reality was more nuanced. “Many firms that source from, say, Vietnam, India or Mexico, still rely heavily on components, raw materials and equipment from China, and in that sense, China remains an essential link, even if it’s no longer the only one,” he said. Dan Krassenstein, global supply chain director at packaging producer Procon Pacific, agreed that China would remain a key sourcing location despite the politically-driven US trade policy. The US will begin implementing an array of tariffs on April 2 in what President Donald Trump has dubbed “Liberation Day.” “There’s going to be a lot of reciprocal tariffs applied across the globe, and it’s going to be a game of Russian roulette,” Krassenstein told the CSCMP webinar. “I was just in India speaking with my suppliers and they really don’t know what to expect.” Manufacturing role ‘deemphasized’ But even with the tariffs, China will remain a core manufacturing base, although its role is being “deemphasized,” Krassenstein noted. “Vietnam and Mexico get a lot of their raw materials and semi-finished components from China, and even India gets a lot of its machinery from China, and the amount of intra-Asia trade is enormous,” he said. “China still plays a key role in global trade, but it is just a little bit deemphasized.” Krassenstein said while labor costs in China are increasing, the US tariffs are exacerbating the cost difference between manufacturing in China and alternative countries, thus accelerating the search for “China-plus-one” sourcing among US importers. “When you get to production of certain items, Mexico makes more sense and a lot of Chinese manufacturers shifted some of their production very early on to Mexico to take advantage of the free trade accord and proximity to the US to reduce some of the geopolitical risks,” he said. The European Union is not facing the same political pressure on corporations to look for alternative sourcing locations to China, according to Tom van der Heyden, co-founder and CEO of sourcing strategy consultancy S3 Group. “We also do not have a Mexico next door in Europe ... it is much harder for European corporations to look into that so we are more stuck to China,” he noted. But van der Heyden added that despite tariffs and the political environment affecting China’s ability to supply the US, the country remained a competitive manufacturing powerhouse. “The skill set, the combination of skills, the supplier clusters in China and the infrastructure are unmatched, and that creates an environment that is so hard to get away from,” he said. Contact Greg Knowler at greg.knowler@spglobal.com .

Logistics Technology News

Supply chain

China to maintain pivotal production role globally despite tariffs: CSCMP

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">A total of 68 sailings globally are expected to be canceled during April, according to maritime consultancy Drewry, with about half of the cancellations in trans-Pacific services.</div>

A total of 68 sailings globally are expected to be canceled during April, according to maritime consultancy Drewry, with about half of the cancellations in trans-Pacific services.

<div class="phx-topic">Ocean carriers plan to blank more sailings through much of April as freight rates hit new lows for 2025 and more ships are expected to hit the water in the coming months. The withdrawal of capacity also comes as ocean carriers look to finalize annual service contracts with shippers. A total of 68 sailings globally are expected to be canceled during April, according to maritime consultancy Drewry, with about half of the cancellations in trans-Pacific services. The blankings are occurring across a variety of weekly services to major US ports. Mediterranean Shipping Co. last week said it would blank six voyages between Asia and the US, with most of the cancellations for sailings originally scheduled for the second half of April. MSC said it would cancel late-April voyages scheduled to the US West Coast on both its Orient service from northern China and its Pearl service from Vietnam and southern China. MSC will also cancel a weekly sailing on its Empire and America services to the US East Coast and another sailing on its Lone Star Express service to the US Gulf Coast. Schedules from other carriers also show more capacity being withdrawn in the coming weeks. Ocean Network Express’ (ONE’s) export schedule for Shanghai shows the Premier Alliance will have no vessels for mid-April sailings on both its EC1 service to the US East Coast and the EC2 service calling the Port of Manzanillo in Mexico and the US Southeast. ONE also canceled a mid-April sailing on its MS2 service between Asia and the US West Coast and a sailing originally scheduled this week on its PN3 service to the ports of Vancouver and Tacoma. Ocean Alliance member Cosco Shipping also appears to be removing trans-Pacific capacity in the short term. It has no weekly voyage scheduled in the second week of April for its Manhattan Bridge service to the US East Coast. The carrier’s Bohai and Hibiscus Express services to the US West Coast also do not have vessels scheduled for the same week. <h3>Blanks come with trans-Pacific spot rates at fresh lows </h3>Joseph Firrincieli, a New York-based sales manager for forwarder OEC Group, told the Journal of Commerce that the blanked sailings are part of the typical tactic ocean carriers use in an attempt to firm up rates as they look to finalize annual service contracts with shippers by May 1. The raft of blank sailings comes as trans-Pacific spot rates sit at 15-month lows. Platts, a sister company of the Journal of Commerce within S&amp;P Global, pegged rates from North Asia to the West Coast at $1,600 per FEU as of Monday, with rates to the East Coast at $2,600 per FEU. <div class="wrapper-narrow"><dynamic-object type="jocchartid" resource-id="e7a65aab-9aac-4f07-9b74-1793746c01ef"></dynamic-object></div>“The reason for the increase in blanked sailings is to create an artificial supply and demand imbalance to justify increasing the floating rates,” Firrincieli said. The blanked sailings also come amid expectations of more ships hitting the water in the coming months. Trans-Pacific container capacity to the US West Coast is expected to increase 19% from March to April, according to data provider eeSea, going from 1.159 million TEUs to 1.379 million TEUs. By May, trans-Pacific capacity is expected to hit 1.426 million TEUs. With the newbuilds being delivered, Firrincieli said ocean carriers may need to blank even more sailings in the coming weeks to bolster rates. While shippers don’t appear to be impacted by the blank sailings yet, he said the threat of tariffs and the potential that shippers will try to frontload imports to avoid them means that there is a risk that container capacity will be limited during late spring. “Right now, there is a lull in the market,” Firrincieli said. “But if the blankings persist into June or July, then shippers may find it more difficult to find space.” Contact Michael Angell at <a href="mailto:michael.angell@spglobal.com">michael.angell@spglobal.com</a>. </div>

Ocean carriers plan to blank more sailings through much of April as freight rates hit new lows for 2025 and more ships are expected to hit the water in the coming months. The withdrawal of capacity also comes as ocean carriers look to finalize annual service contracts with shippers. A total of 68 sailings globally are expected to be canceled during April, according to maritime consultancy Drewry, with about half of the cancellations in trans-Pacific services. The blankings are occurring across a variety of weekly services to major US ports. Mediterranean Shipping Co. last week said it would blank six voyages between Asia and the US, with most of the cancellations for sailings originally scheduled for the second half of April. MSC said it would cancel late-April voyages scheduled to the US West Coast on both its Orient service from northern China and its Pearl service from Vietnam and southern China. MSC will also cancel a weekly sailing on its Empire and America services to the US East Coast and another sailing on its Lone Star Express service to the US Gulf Coast. Schedules from other carriers also show more capacity being withdrawn in the coming weeks. Ocean Network Express’ (ONE’s) export schedule for Shanghai shows the Premier Alliance will have no vessels for mid-April sailings on both its EC1 service to the US East Coast and the EC2 service calling the Port of Manzanillo in Mexico and the US Southeast. ONE also canceled a mid-April sailing on its MS2 service between Asia and the US West Coast and a sailing originally scheduled this week on its PN3 service to the ports of Vancouver and Tacoma. Ocean Alliance member Cosco Shipping also appears to be removing trans-Pacific capacity in the short term. It has no weekly voyage scheduled in the second week of April for its Manhattan Bridge service to the US East Coast. The carrier’s Bohai and Hibiscus Express services to the US West Coast also do not have vessels scheduled for the same week. Blanks come with trans-Pacific spot rates at fresh lows Joseph Firrincieli, a New York-based sales manager for forwarder OEC Group, told the Journal of Commerce that the blanked sailings are part of the typical tactic ocean carriers use in an attempt to firm up rates as they look to finalize annual service contracts with shippers by May 1. The raft of blank sailings comes as trans-Pacific spot rates sit at 15-month lows. Platts, a sister company of the Journal of Commerce within S&P Global, pegged rates from North Asia to the West Coast at $1,600 per FEU as of Monday, with rates to the East Coast at $2,600 per FEU. “The reason for the increase in blanked sailings is to create an artificial supply and demand imbalance to justify increasing the floating rates,” Firrincieli said. The blanked sailings also come amid expectations of more ships hitting the water in the coming months. Trans-Pacific container capacity to the US West Coast is expected to increase 19% from March to April, according to data provider eeSea, going from 1.159 million TEUs to 1.379 million TEUs. By May, trans-Pacific capacity is expected to hit 1.426 million TEUs. With the newbuilds being delivered, Firrincieli said ocean carriers may need to blank even more sailings in the coming weeks to bolster rates. While shippers don’t appear to be impacted by the blank sailings yet, he said the threat of tariffs and the potential that shippers will try to frontload imports to avoid them means that there is a risk that container capacity will be limited during late spring. “Right now, there is a lull in the market,” Firrincieli said. “But if the blankings persist into June or July, then shippers may find it more difficult to find space.” Contact Michael Angell at michael.angell@spglobal.com .

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April blank sailings ramp up amid push to finalize long-term contracts

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The world of LTL is slow to embrace change. Business anachronisms permeate current supply chain processes. These vestiges of the way things used to work define the LTL freight transportation procurement process of many modern shippers.David Knuth, logistics specialist at IEWC, a global supplier of cable and wire based in Wisconsin, is happy to have modernized the RFP process, automating the entire LTL bidding procedure with Bid$ense, SMC³’s automated truckload and LTL freight transportation sourcing solution. But when prompted, he can still recall what once was.In his previous job, a large part of his duties were consumed by creating an intermodal bid package for carriers. In a spreadsheet, Knuth detailed the company’s volumes lane by lane, taking care to delete any errant keystrokes or misleading data. He would then email out the information to each carrier, taking time to respond to detailed technical questions about the spreadsheet data. Finally, he had to compile all the results, create an algorithm that would compare the carriers on each lane, and award the business.“It was a huge undertaking. It took about four months to do,” Knuth said of the old process. “It was almost a full-time job for that part of the year, every year.”In his new job at IEWC, he sat down with Bid$ense on day one and was amazed at the capabilities. Knuth had never before used a bid tool. SMC³’s latest versions of Bid$ense automate the process even further, taking truckload and LTL RFPs entirely online. The tool draws on RFP best-practices protocols to streamline the bidding communication process, enabling bidding carriers to respond accurately and promptly to shipper requests. The solution also does all the distribution work automatically, electronically submitting shipper bid data to carriers based on their actual service capabilities and performance records. Carriers are alerted with timely prompts for RFP deliverables, so shippers aren’t waiting by the phone for responses.Another benefit of automating the process is the data-cleansing assistance. When Knuth sent spreadsheets to carriers, data errors might cloud the bidding process; he might have to resend data or simply accept a price that did not truly reflect the costs of doing business. Data cleansing is incredibly beneficial, he said.The spreadsheet technique also made bidding analysis an onerous task. Since Bid$ense automates and streamlines the entire RFP process, intensive examination is now simple. SMC³ knows that each bid has more than one best outcome. With uniform responses from each carrier, shippers can quickly rank results and create an unlimited quantity of what-if scenarios to make the optimal procurement decision.Jesse Burnett of Central Garden &amp; Pet experiences many of the same benefits. Founded in 1980, Central Garden &amp; Pet has spent the last three decades growing from a small garden supply company to a provider of a range of products from dog chews and bird seed to soil supplements and natural insecticides. For much of its life, the company shipped these disparate goods via LTL and truckload carriers to retailers throughout the country, relying on each business unit to negotiate directly with their freight transportation providers. This arrangement worked fairly well for a small company, but as Central Garden &amp; Pet expanded, leadership decided to consolidate decision making.Burnett helped centralize the transportation decision making in 2015 with SMC³’s Bid$ense. Before Bid$ense, every business unit operated independently as far as negotiating with carriers.“There were a lot of different things just floating around,” he said. “We didn’t have master agreements in place; no national pricing at all. The pricing from carriers was just all over the place, depending on where you were.”The transformations he saw with Bid$ense were immediate. Burnett has been using the tool about every other year since its implementation at the company. Central Garden and Pet’s $19.6 million 2019 LTL bid saved the company just more than 9 percent when compared to its historical average. For Burnett, though, bid automation extends far beyond savings.“We knew that we weren’t getting the best pricing offer from our carriers just because nothing was centralized,” he continued. “We knew that if we combined everything from all these business units and paired it with one corporate offering, then it would drive some cost benefit with it.”When the company initially decided to centralize bid procurement, executives researched a number of different methodologies and technologies. In the end, though, Burnett found that Bid$ense was both widespread and well known, and that his carrier partners already knew how to use the application. Burnett also highlighted the data-cleansing process as a major benefit, saying the rigorous process ensures that carriers always return the best price.“It definitely has helped drive savings,” he said. “Any time you go out there and you drive that competitiveness with the carriers and they know they’re in a bid environment, it seems to sharpen their pencils.”Transportation procurement is an integral part of the modern supply chain. With Bid$ense, shippers can develop a strategic implementation plan that saves them time and money, but also helps them create strong relationships with their carrier partners. These carriers appreciate the solution’s data-cleansing process; when carriers receive a complete shipment history and future volume forecast, they don’t have to guess on pricing. Carriers that receive more data from shippers get a complete picture of that shipper’s freight, allowing them to accurately plan instead of simply preparing for the worst-case scenario. Clean data presented through an automated system can lead to both bigger shipment savings and a lasting partnership between carrier and customer.Whether customers are looking to streamline over-the-road transportation bidding by automating the RFP process or create an entirely new, centralized sourcing process, Bid$ense has the analytical horsepower to get the job done.SMC³ 2020 Customer Case Study

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Shippers save money, time with automated transportation bidding tools

If there’s one immutable truth in the world of logistics, it’s this: LTL is an inherently complex form of transportation. Tariffs, rates, DIM weights, transit times — it’s enough to confuse even seasoned logistics professionals. The solution to this knowledge gap has historically been on-the-job training or university supply chain education, but for a variety of reasons there is now a pressing need for third-party, remote LTL training that prepares logistics workers for transportation success. Global Scope Can Overlook Local Intricacies In the past, professionals looking to move into a supply chain career learned about the basics of supply chain from universities. However, many of these college supply chain programs are now global in scope, focusing on worldwide supply chain management instead of the intricacies of specialized domestic transportation. And even these programs, which used to be widespread, are becoming less common. LTL is not an industry of broad-brush strokes; supply chain professionals really need a pointillistic understanding of the logistics of LTL in order to excel in the industry. Accelerating Need for Dedicated LTL Education This lack of specified training put the onus on employers to prepare new hires with the LTL knowledge needed to do their jobs. Dedicated LTL study is a necessity, not a luxury. At the same time, changes in LTL and the broader supply chain world are accelerating. The reliance on e-commerce has ballooned since the start of the pandemic, and last-mile LTL shipments and related e-commerce strains on the supply chain won’t diminish once social distancing abates. That genie isn’t going back into the bottle. So supply chain employers need logistics workers that are fully versed in all aspects of the industry, ready to solve unique shipping and delivery problems based on their extensive supply chain knowledge But why care about LTL? It’s been reported that some shippers in today’s world are no longer concerned with what mode is used to ship their goods. A Multimodal Approach Ensures On-Time Delivery This mode agnosticism means supply chain stakeholders have to be well versed in all modes of transportation. As unforeseen weather events and other disruptions, such as protests, become more common, savvy logistics employees will need to be armed with familiarity of all modes, not just the most popular, to ensure that freight is delivered on time, without damage, and in the most financially expedient way possible. Offerings like SMC³’s LTL online education courses cover a wide range of topics from LTL basics and operations to more advanced concepts like pricing analytics and transportation law. The company also has plans to continually refresh content, adding new expert presenters and taking the feedback of students to make the courses even better as time goes on. Learn more about&nbsp;<a href="https://logisticstrainingcenter.com/smc3-courses/" rel="noreferrer" class="joc_admin__link">SMC³’s LTL Online Education program</a>&nbsp;and view the 2021 hybrid schedule, featuring live industry experts,&nbsp;<a href="https://www.smc3.com/onlinelearning2021/" rel="noreferrer" class="joc_admin__link">here.</a>

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Filling the Supply Chain Education Gap with LTL Education Courses

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